The University of Geneva (UNIGE) has recently estimated the value of the cannabis economy in Switzerland as being worth close to one billion francs annually. The study authors have also looked at the economic impact various legalization models could have, and found that, depending on the model, Switzerland could collect as much as 464 million francs in additional tax revenues per year.
The cannabis market in Switzerland generates a turnover of around one billion francs per year. But, according to a Geneva study, the current regulations produce “a very inefficient result from an economic point of view.”
Switzerland has banned cannabis since 1951. In seventy years, attempts to relax or tighten regulations have been made repeatedly, so far largely unsuccessful, the University of Geneva (UNIGE) said on Monday in a statement.
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Switzerland to Commission a Study
The Federal Office of Public Health, the cantons of Geneva and Basel-City, and the cities of Bern and Zurich have therefore commissioned a study that adopts an economic perspective.
Developed by the UNIGE Department of Sociology and the consulting firm EBP, this research estimates the turnover generated in Switzerland for the entire cannabis system at one billion francs per year.
This figure includes the direct effects of the cannabis market, health services, police, justice and enforcement of sentences, and the indirect economic impact triggered throughout the Swiss economy.
The Swiss Consume 750,000 Joints per Day
According to estimates, Swiss men and women consume about 56 tons of cannabis each year. This amount corresponds to approximately 750,000 joints per day.
These figures put the Swiss market at an estimated value of 582 million francs in the annual turnover per year in both production and sales.
Adding It All Up
On top of this 582 million francs figure, according to the study, are the following additional annual turnovers:
- 14 million francs in the administration of justice
- 9 million francs in case law
- 34 million francs in policing
- 22 million francs in healthcare
If we also take into account the indirect effects due to prior services and the income generated, the annual turnover is even higher:
- 843 million francs in the cannabis market itself
- 44 million francs in the health sector
- 71 million francs in the police
- 18 million francs in justice
- 23 million francs in the execution of sentences
Swiss Cannabis Economy Varies Depending on the Model
The study shows that if Switzerland applied an alternative form of regulation, the economic effects of the cannabis market would change in the medium term.
For example, legalizing the consumption and possession of the drug for personal use, combined with the legalization of non-commercial community production (“Cannabis Social Club” scenario), would reduce turnover to 650 million francs.
In a “Free Market” scenario, turnover would fall even further, to just 200 million francs. And a market strongly regulated and organized by the private economy would reach approximately 275 million francs.
Switzerland Could Offset Declines Through Increased Tax Revenues
While particular cannabis models would lead to a decline in the cannabis market, Switzerland would offset this with additional tax revenues.
While the status quo, without a legal market or product-specific taxation, generates tax revenue of approximately 25 million francs, the “Cannabis Social Club” scenario could generate tax revenue of roughly 166 million francs. The “Heavily regulated” scheme would increase tax revenues by 464 million francs. And the “Free market” scenario (only VAT) by 11 million francs.
Results of the Study Are Clear
For Oliver Hoff, associate researcher at UNIGE and author of the study, “the simulations show that the current regulations produce a very inefficient result for Switzerland from an economic point of view.”
“Artificially high margins mainly benefit players operating illegally, and consumers suffer from a lack of transparency and product quality,” he points out. Moreover, Switzerland has no access to the market in terms of regulation, taxation, and health policy.
UNIGE has published the study in its “Sociograph – Sociological Research Studies” series.
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